The stock Market

a poem by Hiren Shah

Technical Analysis

When the market is bullish all are interested- friends, siblings, aunts and uncles
To avoid indiscriminate decisions, one should try and get them interested in Technicals

The most important thing in Technicals is to know and improvise your reading
On where the market is heading
To know whether the market/stock is trading or trending
One must master the signals that the graphs are sending
The market being supreme, to ensure a happy ending
To the market one has to be surrendering whether or not one likes bending.

If the market is trending, the most important indicator is the ADX*
Its role in determining unpredictable trends is as explosive as RDX***

( ADX = Accumulation distribution index, RDX- explosive)

One can also opt for the Vertical horizontal filter
To ensure that in reading the market, one does not falter

All the above must be supported by the crossover of the trendline
Which to date remains the most basic tool to determine stock advance or decline

To know which way the stocks will twist and turn
One has to master many a price pattern

To support the above, in most instances
One shall have to look at previous Supports and Resistances

Among the analysts, it is a rage, among many it has got the brightest image
If the markets one has to correctly gauge, nothing beats the moving average

If you want to go beyond the above which to trending is ABCD
You must probe and master the MACD

If a trading market confuses and makes you a vacillator
You must look at the stock market oscillator

Oscillators apprise you about momentum
Which indicate the Trend change speed’s quantum

Prime among them is the Relative strength index
Though not known for reflex, it is reliable for analyzing stocks, Nifty and Sensex

Next known oscillator is the stochastics
Unlike RSI, it is highly reflexive and indicative of short term stock gymnastics

Despite all the above analysis, a winning trade one cannot assume
In fact trading is something one should not begin or resume
If the price action is not supported by volume
Otherwise, one may disappointingly fret and fume

Last but not the least is the stock and market Volatility
Which more than any thing else indicates short term success probability

Fundamentals enable you to buy, Technicals enable market timing
With a dexterity that matches my rhyming

Technicals enable efficient exit and entry
One need not depend TV channels or other commentary

It would not be out of place to mention Money Management and Risk
Not knowing that can make losing money in the market feverishly brisk

More if not equally important than technicals is Trading Psychology
Ignorance of which can make trading deceptive and dodgy

If you know how to monitor the activity of bulls and bears
A sound knowledge of Technical analysis can avoid reducing you to tears

To sum up, the market comprises of sincere people, scam stars and rascals
Everything is visible on the charts, you cannot afford not to know Technicals

Fundamental Analysis

If people think that on Technicals, I have got over sentimental
Let me add that they are ornamental without the analysis deemed fundamental

For each and and every stock, to know how to judge and treat
You cannot but not know the profit and loss account and balance sheet

One can easily get bowled over
By the last three-five years turnover

Turnover need not necessarily indicate profitability
Which more than anything else improves the stock market performance probability

Profitability has to be supported by inclination to declare sufficient dividend
Whether one is talking of a stock or discussing a mutual fund

Dhirubhai Ambani knew that with continuous dividend, capital appreciation would be the result
Which enabled him to single handedly change India’s equity cult
In his life time, Reliance was stock market’s perennial darling
Irrespective of market rising or falling

One has to look into growth of turnover, profit and assets
To make a holistic judgment after looking at all facets

One would be considered an ignorant fellow, his investment performance could be mellow
If in today’s world he is not aware of funds and cash flow

Anyone who knows anything about the stock market would not dare
To venture into a stock without knowing Earnings per share

Unless you are well versed with your Price to earnings ratio
Your investments could turn into a flop show

One should be specially be vary of replacement and free reserves
Inability to distinguish between the two can prove very testing for your nerves

To achieve a proper relative judgment, one has to probe the chemistry
Of the stock vis-à-vis peers and the concerned industry

Pursuing Trading and using Technicals, one has to be daring and bold
On the contrary, in Fundamentals patience is required for buy and hold.

Whatever assessing stocks or indices through Technical or Fundamental analysis
They are just tools; overindulgence can result in “Analysis causing Paralysis”

If you don’t like the poetry, there shall not be an encore
Remember that Technicals reflect opinion, fundamentals shall always remain the core